In his 29 May 2024 class – over a year ago – Jiang Xueqin explains that an American invasion of Iran would be a catastrophic mistake:
If Trump were to win a second term [he did], he would be likely to contemplate invading Iran. While an initial invasion would seem successful, American forces would quickly become bogged down in Iran’s mountainous terrain.
The American invasion would be similar to Athens’ invasion of Sicily in 415 BC, as described in Thucydides’ The Peloponnesian War. Despite its initial successes, the Athenians couldn’t resupply themselves, and their entire expedition was wiped out.
This disastrous defeat turned the war in Sparta’s favor, and spelled the downfall of the Athenian empire.
Could the American empire in Iran suffer the same fate as the Athenian empire in Sicily?
Produced by: Predictive History
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